May 29, 2006
By Anish Abraham
CREDIT ratings agency, CA-Ratings, has raised the long-term credit ratings of Johannesburg - a sure sign of the City's improving financial management prowess.
The new rating was effective from 26 May.
"These ratings are reviewed annually," says the City's Treasurer, Jason Ngobeni. "The City chose to have this done as it is in line with international standards and benchmarks."
Better ratings mean the City is able to fund its capital expenditure programmes at a cheaper rate.
Locally based CA-Ratings has upgraded Johannesburg's long-term credit rating from zaA to zaA+, while its short-term rating is affirmed at zaA1. These figures represent a stable rating outlook.
"This impacts positively on our funding costs. It means the financial stability of the City continues to improve, while its credit risk is declining," Ngobeni said.
The zaA+ rating will apply to the CoJ 01, CoJ 03 and the soon-to-be issued CoJ 04 municipal bonds.
Bonds are issued as a way of reducing borrowing costs, increasing the investor base, and are a way of raising large sums of money that would not be obtainable through a single financial institution.
According to Ngobeni, the CoJ 02 has an AA rating, as it is partially guaranteed by the International Finance Corporation and the Development Bank of South Africa.
CA-Ratings has provided several factors to support its decision:
- Johannesburg has the deepest and most diversified local economy in the country, which is derived from the city's position as South Africa's business capital and the main financial and economic centre.
- A strong operating performance delivered a surplus after taxes of R1,1-billion, three times more than in 2004.
- Improvement in the City's billings systems allow for more complete revenue and strong improvement in collections. CA-Ratings has calculated the collection rate in 2005 to be 94,5 percent, slightly higher than the 93,6 percent average collection rate for the country's other metros.
- The City has maintained healthy cash balances over the last year. At year end the call deposits stood at R1,6-billion: R907-million serves as cash-backing for reserves, loan repayment and grants received; and about R678-million serves as the City's own discretionary funds.
- Debt burden remained moderate during 2005, with a debt-to-income ratio of 40 percent. However, debt levels are expected to increase due to some R9-billion being needed for capital expenditure. Although the debt-to-income ratio is expected to peak at 50 percent in 2009, CA Ratings believes Johannesburg's strong local economy will enable it to sustain higher debt than its peers with similar ratings.
The ratings agency identifies several factors that act as constraints to better ratings:
- Large infrastructure backlogs in terms of development of new infrastructure, as well as the maintenance and replacement of existing assets.
- The City has unfunded post-retirement benefits of about R1,6-billion. The annual payouts are funded from operating income. However, the agency states that the City's relatively low staff cost relative to total expenses (compared with other metros) and its long-term funding plan for this liability mitigates the concern.
- Financial flexibility is currently constrained by the council's strategy to limit tariff increases to approximately CPIX, while large spending pressures might call for more aggressive increases.
- The City's operating expenditures are largely inflexible and of a fixed nature and can only be brought down through tight budgetary measures and improvement in efficiencies.
Improved ratings also help reduce debt-servicing costs as a percentage of overall expenditure. According to Ngobeni, the City currently spends about five percent of its total expenditure on servicing its debts.
"Our ceiling or cap for debt-servicing is at seven percent of overall expenditure," he said.
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